A few months ago I started writing a piece of software called "CTO Game" and the idea was this - you take the place of the CTO in a software development organisation and you have to juggle the build, development, test and release of a new software product to the market without going bust. I'm thinking now it should just be called "Startup Game" rather than CTO Game because it's about way more than just software development - it's about building and releasing a product which people want to buy.
Whether we work in a startup or work in a big company, we have customers and need to make sure that our software delivery doesn't cost us more than they pay for it.
Software is often a commodity now, we often don't build, we buy and the builders are the ones taking a risk in a market. They can be assuming big risks to be first mover - and as you might have seen from the SVB collapse - it's a goldrush feeling which has sucked in and wasted a lot of investors money with many commentators are saying that this is just the beginning of the end of the startup goldrush.
So, while software is truly eating the world - the software that is being created has a shorter and shorter shelf life. And with the arrival of GPT-4, the cycle of software creation will only get quicker.
I'm reminded of Simon Wardley's brilliant blog post on Conversational Programming, that claims that sometime this year, programmers or business analysts or anybody - will be able to describe the software they want and it will pop out the other end. Some knowledge might be needed to deploy and run the code but essentially developers will be circumvented.
It's easy to get swept along in the AI hype cycle isn't it? Meanwhile there is software to be written, tested, deployed - feedback to be gathered. Things won't and don't change overnight, but they're changing and despite the financial risks, I don't see the pace slowing at this point.
Feel free to checkout my latest thoughtpiece on the Lovin' Legacy podcast all about Emergent Architectures and Beating the Monolith. I'm putting together a course called provisionally "Beating the Monolith: Understanding Modern Software Delivery" and you can sign up to stay informed.
Wishing you a wonderful weekend!
-- Richard
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